Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.697561 2.038274 2.421685 2.883895 3.424719 4.036177 4.778492
2026-01-11 1.253250 1.696700 2.250404 2.987473 3.937130 5.113111 6.672377
2026-01-18 0.945539 1.416582 2.058026 2.984133 4.273465 5.989106 8.425448
2026-01-25 0.712769 1.168502 1.838310 2.875891 4.419138 6.600682 9.880300
2026-02-01 0.549762 0.978226 1.652776 2.765170 4.518461 7.130250 11.253224
2026-02-08 0.451139 0.864056 1.555175 2.759399 4.755583 7.866317 12.985739
2026-02-15 0.377491 0.774353 1.477286 2.765362 5.000256 8.626655 14.819976
2026-02-22 0.313728 0.687651 1.386873 2.730850 5.164909 9.266031 16.514234
2026-03-01 0.250127 0.586512 1.250960 2.590606 5.122129 9.548250 17.636835
2026-03-08 0.210481 0.525157 1.178601 2.554253 5.254744 10.134289 19.318981
2026-03-15 0.179892 0.476383 1.122102 2.538115 5.418795 10.785727 21.167703
2026-03-22 0.167563 0.466802 1.145276 2.684923 5.911543 12.077198 24.275627
2026-03-29 0.150053 0.441587 1.131828 2.756452 6.270069 13.165792 27.134441
2026-04-05 0.137656 0.426649 1.139238 2.874531 6.738469 14.510322 30.597796
2026-04-12 0.120060 0.393577 1.098106 2.877233 6.963065 15.396825 33.254989
2026-04-19 0.099833 0.347779 1.017156 2.774337 6.944087 15.789141 34.969095
2026-04-26 0.082833 0.306718 0.940094 2.667730 6.901232 16.123737 36.589377
2026-05-03 0.072507 0.283569 0.906036 2.662320 7.088960 16.958543 39.303490
2026-05-10 0.063993 0.263991 0.878102 2.668148 7.303113 17.867928 42.245740
2026-05-17 0.055416 0.241661 0.837866 2.634756 7.417068 18.564770 44.786367
2026-05-24 0.045327 0.210535 0.764825 2.499011 7.257612 18.628352 45.946309
2026-05-31 0.039242 0.192727 0.729349 2.463828 7.350769 19.280049 48.464539
2026-06-07 0.034408 0.178374 0.702059 2.448209 7.493173 20.059175 51.331234